Market
Israel to take military action in response to Hamas hostage murders by June 30, 2025?
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Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israeli•Hamas•Rafah•Carmel Gat•Eden Yerushalmi•Alexander Lobanov•Almog Sarusi•Ori Danino•LTG Halevi
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or military operations reported by major news outlets
Story
IDF Report: Six Hostages Murdered by Hamas on August 29, 2023, in Rafah Tunnel Due to Israeli Troop Presence
Dec 24, 2024, 08:15 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) released a final report on December 24, 2024, regarding the murder of six Israeli hostages by Hamas in an underground tunnel in Rafah. The hostages, identified as Carmel Gat, Eden Yerushalmi, Hersh Goldberg-Polin, Alexander Lobanov, Almog Sarusi, and MSG Ori Danino, were killed on August 29, 2023, shortly before Israeli forces approached the area. The IDF investigation concluded that the presence of Israeli troops may have prompted the terrorists to execute the hostages. This report was presented to the families of the victims by IDF Chief of Staff LTG Halevi. The investigation highlights that the troops were not aware of the hostages' presence in the vicinity during their operations.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Military action in Gaza • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Hostage remains in captivity • 25%
Hostage released • 25%
Hostage escapes • 25%
Hostage killed • 25%
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International condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Hostage release • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
