Market
Israel-Hamas ceasefire duration: Will it last six weeks?
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Joe Biden•Charleston•South Carolina•Gaza•Israeli•Romi Gonen•Emily Damari•Doron Steinbrecher•Palestinian•United States•Qatar•Egypt
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the governments involved or credible news sources reporting on the ceasefire status
Story
Biden to Address Israel-Hamas Ceasefire and Hostage Exchange in Charleston, South Carolina
Jan 19, 2025, 03:54 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden is set to deliver remarks on the Israel-Hamas ceasefire and hostage deal in Charleston, South Carolina. The ceasefire, which took effect after a delay, is part of an agreement aimed at ending the 15-month conflict in Gaza. The first phase of the ceasefire includes the release of three Israeli hostages, Romi Gonen, Emily Damari, and Doron Steinbrecher, in exchange for 90 Palestinian prisoners. The truce, mediated by the United States, Qatar, and Egypt, is expected to last for an initial six weeks, with hopes of releasing dozens of hostages and ultimately ending the war.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Extension of ceasefire • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire extended beyond six weeks • 25%
Ceasefire ended early due to violations • 25%
Ceasefire collapsed, conflict resumed • 25%
Ceasefire successfully completed • 25%