Market
International health bodies' stance on U.S. House report on COVID-19 origins by end of 2025?
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Coronavirus Pandemic•Wuhan Institute of Virology•China•Department of Justice•EcoHealth Alliance•Wuhan•Anthony Fauci
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Not addressed • 25%
Statements or publications from WHO, CDC, or similar international health bodies
Story
House Panel: COVID-19 Likely from Wuhan Lab Leak; DOJ Secretly Probed EcoHealth Alliance
Dec 3, 2024, 02:40 PM
The U.S. House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Pandemic has released its final report, concluding that COVID-19 likely originated from a laboratory leak at the Wuhan Institute of Virology in China, following gain-of-function research. The two-year bipartisan investigation cites evidence supporting the lab leak theory, including biological characteristics of the virus not found in nature and the absence of multiple zoonotic spillover events. The subcommittee also revealed that the Department of Justice had secretly convened a grand jury to investigate EcoHealth Alliance, a nonprofit organization that funded gain-of-function research at the Wuhan lab; the status of this investigation remains unclear. The report criticizes U.S. health officials, including Dr. Anthony Fauci, for discrediting the lab leak theory and promoting the natural origin narrative, and calls for accountability and oversight in public health systems.
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Similar markets
Calls for international investigation • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on China • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official recognition of lab leak theory • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Policy changes regarding NIH research funding • 25%
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No official stance • 25%
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No specific accountability • 25%
NIH • 25%
EcoHealth Alliance • 25%
Wuhan Institute of Virology • 25%
New regulations on research funding • 25%
Diplomatic actions against China • 25%
Public inquiry or hearings • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Further investigation recommended • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
No new findings • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
