Market
Impact of Trump's pardon of Ross Ulbricht on future presidential pardons by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in controversial pardons • 25%
Decrease in controversial pardons • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Policy reform • 25%
Analysis and reports from political analysts and legal experts
Story
Trump Pardons Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht, Calls Sentence 'Ridiculous'
Jan 21, 2025, 11:57 PM
President Donald Trump has granted a full and unconditional pardon to Ross Ulbricht, founder of the dark web marketplace Silk Road. Ulbricht, who was arrested in 2013 and had served nearly 10 years in prison, was serving two life sentences plus 40 years for charges including drug trafficking, money laundering, and computer hacking. The pardon fulfills a promise Trump made to Libertarians during his campaign. Trump reportedly called Ulbricht's mother to deliver the news, stating it was his 'pleasure to have just signed a full and unconditional pardon,' and labeled the original sentence 'ridiculous.' He also criticized those involved in Ulbricht's conviction, referring to them as 'scum.'
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Similar markets
New legal precedents • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increase in appeals • 25%
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No Decision Made • 34%
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Clemency Granted • 33%
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