Market
Impact of Trump's opposition on Nippon Steel's U.S. Steel acquisition by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquisition completed as planned • 25%
Acquisition blocked • 25%
Acquisition modified • 25%
Acquisition delayed • 25%
Official announcements from Nippon Steel, U.S. Steel, or U.S. government
Story
President-elect Trump Vows to Block Nippon Steel's $14.9B U.S. Steel Buyout via Tax Incentives and Tariffs
Dec 3, 2024, 02:44 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced via a Truth Social post that he will block Nippon Steel's proposed $14.9 billion acquisition of U.S. Steel, pledging to protect the American steel industry. Declaring himself "totally against the once great and powerful U.S. Steel being bought by a foreign company," Trump vowed to implement tax incentives and tariffs to "make U.S. Steel strong and great again." The transaction remains under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) and was previously opposed by the Biden administration. Trump's commitment to blocking the deal underscores his 'America First' policy and aims to revive and fortify the domestic steel industry.
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Similar markets
Strained U.S.-China relations • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved U.S.-Japan relations • 25%
Positive Impact • 25%
Negative Impact • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Unclear Impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Blocked • 25%
Supportive • 33%
Opposed • 34%
Neutral • 33%
Deal Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Deal Blocked by Biden • 25%
Deal Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Postponed • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Approved • 33%