Market
How will Tamaki's affair impact DPP's performance in the next national election?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant loss of seats • 25%
Minor loss of seats • 25%
No change in seats • 25%
Gain of seats • 25%
Election results published by the Japanese government
Story
Japan's DPP 'Kingmaker' Tamaki Suspended Over Admitted Affair; Furukawa Named Acting Leader
Dec 4, 2024, 03:59 AM
Yuichiro Tamaki, leader of Japan's Democratic Party for the People and a key 'kingmaker' in the minority government, has been suspended from his party position for three months following revelations of an admitted extramarital affair. The decision was made on December 4 during a meeting of party members, after a weekly magazine reported last month that Tamaki had been meeting with a female celebrity at a hotel. Tamaki admitted that the report was largely accurate and apologized to his supporters. During his suspension, Motohisa Furukawa, the party's chairman of the Diet Affairs Committee, will serve as acting leader.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Remains as a regular member • 25%
Steps down permanently • 25%
Resumes leadership • 25%
Improved performance • 25%
Declined performance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unable to determine • 25%
Gain in seats • 25%
Significant loss of seats • 25%
Minor loss of seats • 25%
No change • 25%
Constitutional Democratic Party • 25%
Liberal Democratic Party • 25%
Komeito • 25%
Other • 25%
Other impact • 25%
CDU gains votes • 25%
CDU loses votes • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Not measured • 25%
Other • 25%
Declined • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Improved • 25%
CDU gains seats • 25%
Impact unclear • 25%
CDU maintains current seats • 25%
CDU loses seats • 25%
PTI maintains current standing • 25%
PTI dissolves or merges • 25%
PTI loses seats • 25%
PTI gains seats • 25%
Tamaki reinstated • 25%
New leader elected • 25%
Other • 25%
Furukawa continues • 25%