Market
How will recommended alcohol consumption limits change by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lowered significantly • 25%
Lowered slightly • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Increased • 25%
Official guidelines from WHO, CDC, or similar health organizations
Story
Surgeon General Urges Cancer Labels on Alcohol, Third Leading Cause After Tobacco and Obesity
Jan 3, 2025, 02:39 PM
United States Surgeon General Vivek Murthy has issued an advisory calling for alcoholic beverages to carry prominent warning labels about the risk of cancer, similar to those on cigarette packages. In a report released on Friday, Murthy emphasized that alcohol consumption is the third leading preventable cause of cancer in the U.S., after tobacco and obesity. He noted that alcohol is responsible for approximately 100,000 cancer cases and 20,000 cancer deaths annually. The Surgeon General highlighted that fewer than half of Americans are aware of the cancer risks associated with alcohol intake, which increases the risk of developing cancers such as breast, colon, and liver cancer. Murthy suggested reevaluating recommended limits for alcohol consumption in light of these increased risks.
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Increase • 25%
Other trends • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Decrease in alcohol consumption • 25%
Increase in alcohol consumption • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Support for labeling changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Indifference or no opinion • 25%
Opposition to labeling changes • 25%
Increased by 20% • 25%
Increased by more than 30% • 25%
Increased by 10% • 25%
Increased by 30% • 25%
No significant change in awareness or consumption • 25%
Significant backlash against warnings • 25%
Increase in awareness but no significant change in consumption • 25%
Significant increase in awareness and reduction in consumption • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Federal legislation passed • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
No legislation passed • 25%
State-level legislation passed • 25%
Mandatory cancer warnings on labels • 25%
Other regulatory action • 25%
No change in labeling • 25%
Voluntary industry guidelines • 25%