Market
How will public awareness of alcohol-related cancer risks change by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increases significantly • 25%
Increases slightly • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Decreases • 25%
Surveys conducted by reputable health organizations or research institutions
Story
Surgeon General Urges Cancer Labels on Alcohol, Third Leading Cause After Tobacco and Obesity
Jan 3, 2025, 02:39 PM
United States Surgeon General Vivek Murthy has issued an advisory calling for alcoholic beverages to carry prominent warning labels about the risk of cancer, similar to those on cigarette packages. In a report released on Friday, Murthy emphasized that alcohol consumption is the third leading preventable cause of cancer in the U.S., after tobacco and obesity. He noted that alcohol is responsible for approximately 100,000 cancer cases and 20,000 cancer deaths annually. The Surgeon General highlighted that fewer than half of Americans are aware of the cancer risks associated with alcohol intake, which increases the risk of developing cancers such as breast, colon, and liver cancer. Murthy suggested reevaluating recommended limits for alcohol consumption in light of these increased risks.
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Increased by 30% • 25%
Increased by more than 30% • 25%
Increased by 10% • 25%
Increased by 20% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
61% to 70% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
Significant backlash against warnings • 25%
Increase in awareness but no significant change in consumption • 25%
Significant increase in awareness and reduction in consumption • 25%
No significant change in awareness or consumption • 25%
Still Pending • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Approved • 33%
40-59% support • 25%
60-79% support • 25%
80% or more support • 25%
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No official response • 25%
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Neutral stance • 25%
Criticize or oppose • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Colon Cancer • 25%
Liver Cancer • 25%
Other • 25%
Breast Cancer • 25%