Market
How will public opinion in Italy shift regarding Salvini's migrant policies by 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Public opinion polls and surveys from reputable sources
Story
Italy's Deputy PM Salvini Acquitted in Palermo of Kidnapping Charges Over 2019 Open Arms Migrant Blockade
Dec 20, 2024, 07:08 PM
An Italian court in Palermo has acquitted Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini on charges of kidnapping and dereliction of duty related to his August 2019 decision to prevent the Spanish NGO rescue ship Open Arms, carrying 147 migrants, from docking in Sicily. The migrants were kept onboard for nearly three weeks as Salvini, then serving as interior minister, refused to allow the vessel to disembark. Prosecutors had sought a six-year prison sentence, but the court ruled there was no case to answer, clearing Salvini of all charges. Salvini welcomed the verdict, stating that defending the homeland is a right, not a crime.
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More restrictive • 25%
No change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Less restrictive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Shift towards lenient policies • 25%
Shift towards stricter policies • 25%
Increased internal debate • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
Between 40% and 50% • 25%
Between 30% and 40% • 25%
Resigns from position • 25%
Elected to a higher office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains Deputy PM • 25%
Sanctions or penalties • 25%
Policy review • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
No response • 25%
Increased support for stricter policies • 25%
Increased support for lenient policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support for stricter policies • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Mostly favorable • 25%
Divided • 25%
No clear opinion • 25%
Mostly unfavorable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
No clear data • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Less supportive of migration • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More supportive of migration • 25%