Market
How will Mexican public opinion on migration shift by June 30, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
More supportive of migration • 25%
Less supportive of migration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Surveys and polls conducted by reputable Mexican or international polling organizations
Story
Trump's Deportation Plans and 100% Tariff Threat on BRIC Nations Affect Migration, Trade
Dec 2, 2024, 08:14 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans for a mass deportation policy, prompting a shift in Mexican attitudes towards migration. Mexican views on the issue are hardening as Trump's administration prepares to implement stricter border policies. This has led to an increase in smuggling fees by Mexican cartels, who are anticipating a surge in demand for their services. Additionally, Trump has threatened to impose a 100% tariff on the BRIC bloc of nations—comprising Brazil, Russia, India, and China—if they attempt to undermine the US dollar. This tariff threat has caused the dollar to climb and has raised concerns about potential disruptions to global supply chains. The tariff uncertainty has also led to a rush among importers to frontload goods from China, Mexico, and Canada, boosting trade in late 2024, although there are risks of slowed demand in 2025. Experts in Texas have warned that Trump's tariff plan for Mexico could have detrimental effects on the state's economy.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased support for lenient policies • 25%
Decreased support for stricter policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased support for stricter policies • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Not enough data • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Decreased priority • 25%
Other changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased priority • 25%
Mostly favorable • 25%
No clear opinion • 25%
Divided • 25%
Mostly unfavorable • 25%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
Improved Cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%