Market
How will opposition from federal employees towards Trump's administration change by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increases • 25%
Decreases • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Not measurable • 25%
Follow-up surveys from credible research institutions like the Napolitan Institute
Story
Poll Shows Nearly Half of Federal Employees Plan to Resist Trump, 80% of Pro-Harris Managers Oppose His Agenda, 1% Support, $2 Trillion Cuts
Jan 13, 2025, 05:00 PM
A recent survey conducted by the Napolitan Institute and RMG Research indicates that nearly half of federal employees plan to resist President Trump's administration as he begins his second term. The poll reveals that 80% of federal government managers who supported Kamala Harris in the previous election intend to oppose Trump's efforts, while only 1% expressed any willingness to support him. Additionally, only 17% of Democratic federal managers who voted for Harris stated they would follow an order from Trump. This resistance appears to be organized, with reports suggesting that federal employees opposed to Trump have previously held meetings to strategize against his policies. The survey underscores a deep divide within the federal workforce regarding the incoming administration's agenda.
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Increase in federal workforce • 25%
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Decreased Independence • 25%
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Unclear/Varied Opinions • 25%