Market
How will M5S's political strategy change after removing the two-term limit by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
More candidates with over two terms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Return to two-term limit • 25%
Other structural changes • 25%
Official M5S announcements or policy changes
Story
M5S Votes to Remove Grillo as Guarantor, Abolishes Two-Term Limit
Dec 8, 2024, 10:14 PM
In a significant internal vote, members of Italy's Five Star Movement (M5S) have decisively voted to remove Beppe Grillo from his role as the party's guarantor, with 80.56% in favor of the change. The vote, which also saw the elimination of the two-term limit for elected officials, marks a pivotal moment in the party's history. Giuseppe Conte, the current leader, celebrated the outcome as an 'explosive wave' of change, indicating a desire to 'turn the page' on the party's past. The vote was a direct challenge to Grillo's influence, following his satirical letter to Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein suggesting Conte as a potential leader. The outcome sets the stage for potential legal battles over the party's symbol and future direction, with Grillo hinting at possible legal actions and the creation of local lists to challenge the M5S.
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Court challenge successful • 25%
New legislation passed • 25%
Public protests • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
Major cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Minor cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Shift towards stricter policies • 25%
Shift towards lenient policies • 25%
Increased internal debate • 25%
Remains Deputy PM • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Elected to a higher office • 25%
Resigns from position • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More Nationalist • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
More Moderate • 25%
Santanchè resigns from party • 25%
Party leadership changes • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other political consequence • 25%
No major move • 25%
Support impeachment • 25%
Oppose impeachment • 25%
Call for snap elections • 25%