Market
How will Israeli public opinion change regarding the ceasefire and prisoner exchange deal by February 28, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for the government • 25%
Increased opposition to the government • 25%
No significant change in opinion • 25%
Other • 25%
Public opinion polls conducted by reputable Israeli polling organizations
Story
Trump Announces Deal for Release of 33 Hostages and 1,000 Palestinian Prisoners Amid Israel-Hamas Ceasefire
Jan 15, 2025, 05:16 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that a deal has been reached for the release of 33 hostages in the Middle East. The agreement, which comes amid reports of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, will see the hostages released shortly, according to Trump's statement on Truth Social. The ceasefire deal, which has been in negotiation for months, is expected to end 15 months of fighting in Gaza. Sources indicate that the agreement includes the phased release of hostages and over 1,000 Palestinian prisoners, with the first group of hostages expected to be released as early as this weekend.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority support • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority support the deal • 25%
Majority oppose the deal • 25%
Public opinion is evenly split • 25%
Majority support the deal • 25%
Majority oppose the deal • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Mixed Opinions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Majority support maintaining ceasefire • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Majority support full military action • 25%
Majority support partial military action • 25%
Indifferent reaction • 25%
Negative reaction • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
Positive reaction • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Negative reaction • 25%
Positive reaction • 25%
Negative reaction • 25%
Positive reaction • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%
Low approval • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
High approval • 25%
Moderate approval • 25%
Deal fully executed • 25%
Partial execution • 25%
Deal collapsed • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Full implementation • 25%
Agreement abandoned • 25%
Predominantly negative reactions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Broad international support • 25%
Little to no reaction • 25%