Market
How will Hamas react to the proposed ceasefire and hostage deal by January 20, 2025?
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Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•White House•Biden•National Security•Jake Sullivan•Donald Trump•Sullivan•Netanyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepts both ceasefire and hostage deal • 25%
Accepts ceasefire only • 25%
Accepts hostage deal only • 25%
Rejects both • 25%
Official statements from Hamas or credible news reports
Story
Biden Urges Immediate Ceasefire in Gaza, Hostage Deal Before Jan. 20
Jan 12, 2025, 05:12 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed negotiations for a hostage release and ceasefire deal in Gaza during a phone call on Sunday. The conversation, confirmed by a White House official, highlighted the immediate need for a ceasefire in Gaza and the return of hostages, with Biden stressing the importance of enabling a surge in humanitarian aid through a stoppage in the fighting. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan indicated that the U.S. is very close to reaching an agreement before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20. Sullivan also mentioned that Biden would soon speak with Netanyahu to further discuss these negotiations.
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Similar markets
Further negotiations • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Continued ceasefire • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Accepts the deal • 25%
Rejects the deal • 25%
Requests modifications • 25%
No official response • 25%
Continue holding hostages • 25%
Release all hostages • 25%
Release some hostages • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
