Market
How will global health organizations respond to U.S. WHO withdrawal by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased collaboration with WHO • 25%
Independent initiatives • 25%
Public condemnation of U.S. decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from global health organizations like WHO, UNICEF, or Africa CDC
Story
Trump Withdraws U.S. from WHO Effective January 22, 2026, Over $500 Million vs. $39 Million Disparity
Jan 26, 2025, 01:42 AM
President Donald Trump has announced the United States' withdrawal from the World Health Organization (WHO), effective January 22, 2026. The decision, formalized through an executive order signed on January 20, 2025, cites the WHO's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the organization's financial demands as reasons for the exit. Trump has criticized the WHO for what he perceives as an unfairly high financial contribution from the U.S., mentioning that the country paid $500 million annually compared to China's $39 million, despite China's larger population. The withdrawal has raised concerns about its impact on global health initiatives, particularly in Africa, where the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention noted potential negative effects on health programs. In response to the decision, the WHO has expressed regret and hopes for a reconsideration, highlighting the organization's role in protecting global health, including that of Americans. Amidst these developments, Trump has indicated a potential willingness to rejoin the WHO if the U.S. contribution could be significantly reduced to match China's level.
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Criticism of the U.S. decision • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Plans for restructuring WHO funding • 25%
Calls for increased funding from other nations • 25%
Formation of New Health Alliance • 25%
New Pandemic Response Framework • 25%
Increased Funding from Other Nations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Initiate dialogue with US • 25%
Seek new partnerships • 25%
Implement policy changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase outreach to other countries • 25%
Adjust funding strategies • 25%
Publicly criticize the U.S. decision • 25%
Other strategies • 25%
Increase collaboration with other countries • 25%
Reform internal policies • 25%
Seek new funding sources • 25%
Formation of alternative health alliances • 25%
Calls for reform in WHO • 25%
Increased funding to WHO • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased support for WHO • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Criticism of U.S. decision • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Significant disruption • 25%
Moderate disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No noticeable disruption • 25%
Increase funding to WHO • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Form alternative health coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. negotiates new terms with WHO • 25%
U.S. reverses decision • 25%
U.S. fully withdraws • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%