Market
How will AfD's policy stance change post-Musk endorsement by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
More moderate • 25%
More extreme • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Internal conflict over direction • 25%
Official statements from AfD and policy analysis reports
Story
Elon Musk Declares 'Only AfD Can Save Germany' Ahead of February Elections
Dec 20, 2024, 06:01 PM
Elon Musk has publicly endorsed Germany's far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD), stating that 'only the AfD can save Germany'. The endorsement comes ahead of snap legislative elections scheduled for February, prompting reactions from political leaders. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz dismissed Musk's assertion. The AfD, known for its anti-immigration stance, has been monitored by German domestic intelligence due to ties to extremist groups, with its youth wing designated as a 'confirmed extremist' group. His support marks a notable intervention in European politics.
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Other outcome • 25%
No adoption of policies • 25%
Partially adopts policies • 25%
Adopts Musk's suggested policies • 25%
Remain between 20% and 24.9% • 25%
Decrease to below 15% • 25%
Decrease to between 15% and 19.9% • 25%
Increase to 25% or more • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase by <=5% • 25%
Increase by >5% • 25%
Increased criticism of Musk • 25%
Calls for distancing from AfD • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation from CDU/CSU • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support from other parties • 25%
Condemnation from SPD • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by 0-5% • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
Condemnation from all major parties • 25%
Support from a major party • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No major reactions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%