Market
Change in AfD's popularity in Germany after Musk's endorsement by February 28, 2024?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 0-5% • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Major German polling agencies such as Infratest dimap or Forsa
Story
Germany Accuses Elon Musk of Trying to Influence February Election in Favor of AfD Party
Dec 30, 2024, 02:02 PM
The German government has accused Elon Musk of attempting to influence the country's upcoming federal election scheduled for late February. The accusation stems from Musk's repeated endorsements of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, including a recent opinion piece in the German newspaper Welt where he described the AfD as 'the last spark of hope' for Germany. German government spokesperson Christiane Hoffmann stated that Musk's comments amount to a 'voting recommendation' for a party under surveillance by Germany's domestic intelligence agency due to suspicions of being far-right. Despite acknowledging Musk's right to free speech, Hoffmann emphasized that German elections are decided by voters at the polls and are a domestic matter.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase to 25% or more • 25%
Decrease to below 15% • 25%
Decrease to between 15% and 19.9% • 25%
Remain between 20% and 24.9% • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by <=5% • 25%
Increase by >5% • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
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No • 50%
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Worsened perception • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved perception • 25%
SPD • 25%
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AfD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
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More moderate • 25%
Internal conflict over direction • 25%