Market
How many specific criminal cases involving Telegram will be reported by the end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10 cases • 25%
10 to 20 cases • 25%
21 to 30 cases • 25%
More than 30 cases • 25%
Reports from Telegram or major news outlets
Story
Telegram's Durov Admits to Criminal Allegations, Commits to Enhancing Moderation Amid French Court Hearings
Jan 18, 2025, 11:45 AM
Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, has acknowledged the severity of allegations against the messaging platform during his court hearings in France. Charged with enabling organized crime, Durov admitted to realizing the gravity of the situation during his custody. He emphasized that Telegram was not created for criminals, but acknowledged that the platform's increasing user base has led to a rise in criminal use. Durov committed to enhancing Telegram's content moderation processes, stating that the platform removes between 15 to 20 million user accounts monthly for violating laws. He also mentioned that Telegram has been cooperating with law enforcement, providing data on over 10,000 users globally in the first half of 2024. Durov expressed personal disgust at the criminal activities, which included 15 specific cases. Despite announcing its first annual profit in December, Telegram is burdened with a $2 billion debt.
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Case Dismissed • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Develop in-house moderation tools • 25%
No further changes • 25%
Partner with more organizations • 25%
Revert to less moderation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase in CSAM • 25%
Significant reduction in CSAM • 25%
Moderate reduction in CSAM • 25%
No significant change in CSAM • 25%
21-30 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
Less than 900 million • 25%
More than 1 billion • 25%
951-1 billion • 25%
900-950 million • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Ongoing/No Resolution • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%