Market
Outcome of Pavel Durov's organized crime case in France by end of 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ongoing/No Resolution • 25%
Official court verdicts and announcements from French judicial authorities
Story
Telegram Founder Pavel Durov Charged in France After 10 Hours of Questioning Over Organized Crime Allegations
Jan 18, 2025, 11:36 AM
Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, is facing charges in France related to enabling organized crime through his messaging platform. During a lengthy questioning session with magistrates, Durov expressed his awareness of the seriousness of the allegations and stated he was 'disgusted in a personal capacity' by the accusations. He has denied promoting criminal activities on Telegram and has committed to improving moderation on the platform. Durov acknowledged the gravity of the issues raised against Telegram, describing past abuses as 'disgusting.'
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Settlement Reached • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Telegram found guilty • 25%
Telegram found not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
New trial granted • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Sentence upheld • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Successful defamation lawsuit • 25%
Unsuccessful defamation lawsuit • 25%
Other legal action • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Sentence upheld • 25%
Sentence increased • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Appeal Successful • 33%
Partially Successful • 34%
Appeal Unsuccessful • 33%
At least one appeal withdrawn • 25%
At least one sentence increased • 25%
All sentences upheld • 25%
At least one sentence reduced • 25%
Other • 25%
Seeks asylum in another country • 25%
Remains free in exile • 25%
Arrested by Russian authorities • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Additional charges filed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%