Market
How many GOP members will abstain in next Speaker vote by Jan 10, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 5 • 25%
5 to 10 • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
Official vote count from the U.S. House of Representatives
Story
Rep. Keith Self (R-TX) Votes for Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.), Third GOP Defection in Speaker Election
Jan 3, 2025, 06:29 PM
Representative Keith Self (R-TX) voted for Representative Byron Donalds (R-Fla.) for the position of Speaker of the House, marking the third GOP defection against the favored candidate, Mike Johnson. This vote indicates a growing dissent within the Republican party, as three members have voted against Johnson and six have abstained so far. The vote by Self suggests that Johnson is likely to fail on the first ballot for the speakership.
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5 or fewer • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
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1 defection • 25%
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Mike Johnson • 25%
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Challenger 1 • 25%
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Tom Emmer • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
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Other • 25%
Jim Jordan • 25%
Tom Emmer • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%