Market
How many European countries will be involved with SpaceX in secure communications by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Italy only • 25%
Italy and one other country • 25%
Italy and two other countries • 25%
Italy and more than two other countries • 25%
Official announcements from SpaceX and respective European governments
Story
Italy in Talks with SpaceX for €1.5 Billion Secure Communications Project
Jan 9, 2025, 10:07 AM
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has clarified that her government is in preliminary discussions with Elon Musk's SpaceX regarding the provision of secure communications services for Italy. Meloni emphasized that these talks are part of a broader exploration of options with various private companies, and no contracts have been signed. She denied having any personal discussions with Musk about the potential deal, which has been reported to be worth €1.5 billion and aimed at building Europe's largest encrypted communications system. The project has sparked controversy, with opposition parties questioning the security implications of relying on a private entity for such critical infrastructure. Meloni stressed that the government's primary concern is national interest, and there are currently no public alternatives to the technology offered by SpaceX.
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UK • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
5 or more countries • 25%
1-2 countries • 25%
None • 25%
3-4 countries • 25%
0-2 countries • 25%
9 or more countries • 25%
6-8 countries • 25%
3-5 countries • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Deal finalized • 33%
Other • 1%
Deal cancelled • 33%
Deal postponed • 33%
More than 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 75 • 25%
76 to 100 • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Contract modified and signed • 25%
Contract signed • 25%
Talks discontinued • 25%
Alternative provider chosen • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Talks abandoned • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%