Market
How many countries will issue arrest warrants against Assad in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
France only • 25%
France and one other country • 25%
France and two or more other countries • 25%
No additional countries • 25%
Official announcements from the respective governments or credible news reports
Story
France Issues New Arrest Warrant Against Bashar al-Assad for 2017 Deraa Bombing
Jan 21, 2025, 04:20 PM
Two French investigating magistrates have issued a new arrest warrant against Bashar al-Assad, the former Syrian president, for suspected complicity in war crimes. This is the second such warrant issued by French judicial authorities. The warrant specifically links Assad to a 2017 bombing in the Syrian city of Deraa that resulted in the death of a civilian. Assad, who was ousted late last year and is currently residing in Russia, is accused in his capacity as 'commander-in-chief of the armed forces.'
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5 or more countries • 25%
No countries • 25%
3-4 countries • 25%
1-2 countries • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Syria • 25%
Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
