Market
How many countries will condemn Trump's birthright citizenship order by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
More than 10 countries • 25%
Official statements from foreign governments reported in major news outlets
Story
Trump to Sign Executive Order Ending Birthright Citizenship as Part of 10 Actions on First Day
Jan 20, 2025, 02:42 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to sign an executive order on his first day in office to end birthright citizenship for children of illegal immigrants, according to incoming White House officials. The order, which is one of ten executive actions planned, will clarify the 14th Amendment to state that the federal government will not recognize automatic birthright citizenship for children of illegal aliens born in the United States. This is part of a broader set of executive actions Trump plans to implement, which also includes suspending refugee resettlement for at least four months and creating a removal process without the possibility of asylum.
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General Support • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Widespread Condemnation • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
More than 24 states • 25%
31-40 states • 25%
More than 40 states • 25%
18 states • 25%
19-21 states • 25%
23-30 states • 25%
22 states • 25%
22-24 states • 25%
More than 30 states • 25%
21 to 30 states • 25%
Less than 10 states • 25%
10 to 20 states • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
16+ states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
21-22 states • 25%
18 states • 25%
More than 22 states • 25%
19-20 states • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
More than 10 states • 25%
1-5 states • 25%
0 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
11-20 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
More than 20 states • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Order implemented • 25%
Order overturned by Congress • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Order not issued • 25%