Market
How many additional casualties will be reported from the Sanaa Airport airstrike by Jan 31, 2025?
2
World Health Organization•Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus•Sanaa International Airport•Yemen•Israeli•Houthi•Ghebreyesus•Israeli military
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
Official reports from WHO, local authorities, or international news agencies
Story
WHO Chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus Safe After Israeli Airstrike at Sanaa Airport, Two Killed, One Crew Member Injured
Dec 26, 2024, 11:30 PM
World Health Organization Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus was present at Sanaa International Airport in Yemen during an Israeli airstrike targeting Houthi positions on December 26, 2024. Preliminary reports indicate that at least two people were killed in the attack, which occurred as Ghebreyesus was preparing to board a flight. He confirmed that he and his team were safe, although one crew member sustained injuries. Ghebreyesus reported that there was damage to airport infrastructure and stated, "We will need to wait for the damage to the airport to be repaired before we can leave." The Israeli military confirmed the airstrikes aimed at Houthi rebels in the region, which has seen escalating conflict recently.
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Similar markets
More than 50 casualties • 25%
31 to 50 casualties • 25%
10 to 30 casualties • 25%
Less than 10 casualties • 25%
16-30 • 25%
46 or more • 25%
5-15 • 25%
31-45 • 25%
30 or more • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 19 • 25%
20 to 29 • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
12 to 15 • 25%
16 to 20 • 25%
11 or fewer • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Major damage, airport closed for over 3 months • 25%
No significant damage, airport operational • 25%
Minor damage, airport closed for less than 1 month • 25%
Moderate damage, airport closed for 1-3 months • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
