Market
What will be the status of Georgia's EU membership aspirations by December 31, 2025?
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Manchester City•Mikheil Kavelashvili•Georgia•Kavelashvili•Russian•Georgian Dream•Western•Salome Zurabishvili•EU
Resolution / Starting Odds
Progress towards membership • 25%
Stalled negotiations • 25%
Membership aspirations abandoned • 25%
Membership achieved • 25%
Statements from the EU and Georgian government
Story
Ex-Manchester City Striker Mikheil Kavelashvili, Known for Anti-Western Views, Elected President of Georgia Amid Protests
Dec 14, 2024, 11:42 AM
Former Manchester City striker Mikheil Kavelashvili has been elected as the new president of Georgia by a ruling party-dominated electoral college, receiving 224 out of 300 votes in a ballot boycotted by the opposition. Kavelashvili, aged 53, is known for his anti-Western and pro-Russian views, and his election marks a consolidation of power by the ruling Georgian Dream party. This is the first time in Georgia's history that the president has been selected by an electoral college rather than by popular vote. The outgoing pro-Western president, Salome Zurabishvili, has declared the vote illegitimate and has refused to step down. The inauguration ceremony is scheduled for December 29. The election has sparked protests in the country and raised concerns about Georgia's EU aspirations.
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Similar markets
No change • 25%
Significant progress • 25%
Stalled • 25%
Withdrawn application • 25%
Other • 25%
Georgia resumes EU accession talks • 25%
Georgia forms new EU-related agreements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Application withdrawn • 25%
Application remains frozen • 25%
Application resumed • 25%
Other status • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continue pause • 25%
Resume negotiations • 25%
Abandon EU accession • 25%
Other • 25%
