Market
First organization to publish study on clade 1b Mpox vaccine effectiveness by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
World Health Organization • 25%
European Medicines Agency • 25%
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention • 25%
Other • 25%
Scientific journal publications
Story
France Confirms First Case of New Clade 1b Mpox Variant in Brittany
Jan 6, 2025, 09:24 PM
France's Ministry of Health announced on Monday evening that the first case of the new clade 1b variant of the mpox virus (monkeypox) has been identified in the country. The patient, a woman, is being treated at the University Hospital Center in Rennes, Brittany. The detection of this variant, anticipated since the summer, follows cases already reported in Sweden, Germany, and the United Kingdom.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Human-to-human transmission • 25%
Animal-to-human transmission • 25%
Environmental factors • 25%
Unknown • 25%
1-5 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pfizer • 25%
Moderna • 25%
Johnson & Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Vaccine suspension or recall • 25%
Guideline updates • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Further studies commissioned • 25%