Market
Final Vote Count for Pete Hegseth's Confirmation by Feb 28, 2025
5
Donald Trump•Susan Collins•Lisa Murkowski•Pete Hegseth•White House•North Carolina•California•Trump•Hegseth•Senate•Mitch McConnell
Resolution / Starting Odds
51-49 • 25%
52-48 • 25%
53-47 • 25%
Other • 25%
Official voting records from the United States Senate
Story
Trump Surprised by Collins and Murkowski's Vote Against Hegseth's Nomination for Secretary of Defense, Expects McConnell's Opposition
Jan 24, 2025, 02:45 PM
President Donald Trump expressed surprise at Senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski voting against ending debate on Pete Hegseth's nomination for Secretary of Defense, according to statements made to reporters as he departed the White House for North Carolina and California. Trump described Hegseth as a 'very good man' and expressed hope for his confirmation, despite the uncertainty surrounding the vote. He also mentioned his expectation that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell would oppose Hegseth's nomination.
View original story
Similar markets
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with all GOP votes • 25%
Confirmed with some GOP votes • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
Rejected with majority • 33%
Confirmed with some GOP dissent • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Rejected with majority • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Tie requiring Vice President's vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Vote not held • 25%
50 or more votes in favor • 25%
Less than 50 votes in favor • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed without VP tiebreaker • 25%
Confirmed with VP tiebreaker • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed without VP vote • 25%
Confirmed with VP vote • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31 • 25%
Rejected along party lines • 25%
Confirmed along party lines • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Rejected with bipartisan opposition • 25%
Vote postponed • 34%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Delayed • 34%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmation vote delayed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed without tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
Confirmed with 51-60 votes • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with over 60 votes • 25%