Market
Evidence of external influence in Yoon's martial law declaration by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the South Korean police or investigative reports
Story
South Korean Police Raid Presidential Office and Safe House to Secure Evidence on Yoon Suk Yeol's 12·3 Martial Law Declaration
Jan 20, 2025, 05:05 AM
South Korean police have initiated a raid on the presidential office and the safe house in Samcheong-dong to secure documents related to President Yoon Suk Yeol's declaration of martial law in December. The police are also attempting to obtain CCTV footage from the Samcheong-dong safe house and documents related to the 12·3 martial law from the presidential office. This action follows the formal arrest of President Yoon, who was moved to a solitary cell at the Seoul Detention Center. The raid is part of an ongoing investigation into the illegal declaration of martial law on December 3, with the police seeking to gather evidence on who entered and exited the safe house before and after the martial law declaration, as well as any directives issued by President Yoon.
View original story
Similar markets
Strained relations with allies • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Improved relations with certain countries • 25%
No response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor violations found • 25%
Criminal charges recommended • 25%
Major violations found • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Rebellion • 25%
Abuse of Power • 25%
No Charges • 25%
Both Rebellion and Abuse of Power • 25%
Charged with lesser offense • 25%
Charged with treason • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No charges • 25%
Polarization Increases • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Decrease in Support • 25%
Increase in Support • 25%
Major charges filed • 25%
Yoon convicted • 25%
Minor charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%