Market
Deportations under expedited removal order by April 30, 2025?
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Trump•ICE•Biden•Department of Homeland Security•DHS•Benjamine Huffman•CBP One•Cubans•Haitians•Nicaraguans•Venezuelans
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official DHS or ICE deportation records
Story
Trump Administration Authorizes ICE to Deport 1.5 Million Migrants Using Expedited Removal
Jan 24, 2025, 04:01 PM
The Trump administration has authorized federal immigration authorities, specifically ICE officials, to review and potentially revoke the legal status of nearly 1.5 million migrants who were allowed into the U.S. under parole programs implemented by the Biden administration. This move, detailed in an internal Department of Homeland Security (DHS) memo signed by acting DHS Secretary Benjamine Huffman, could lead to the deportation of these migrants. The memo expands the use of expedited removal, allowing for the rapid deportation of migrants who have been in the U.S. for less than two years and do not claim asylum or fail to meet initial standards. The affected migrants include those who entered via the CBP One phone app and through parole processes for Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans (CHNV), which were closed by President Trump on his first day in office.
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MS-13 • 25%
Other gangs • 25%
Venezuelan gangs • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%
Chicago • 25%
San Diego • 25%
New York • 25%
Miami • 25%
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Resumed without restrictions • 25%
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1 million • 25%
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2 million • 25%
