Market
Demographic with largest increase in mail-in voting confidence by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Republicans • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Independents • 25%
Other • 25%
Public opinion polls segmented by demographics conducted by reputable organizations
Story
Republican Confidence in Mail-in Ballots Soars to 72% After Trump's 2024 Victory
Dec 6, 2024, 01:45 AM
Voter confidence in the administration of the 2024 U.S. presidential election has risen significantly compared to the 2020 contest, driven largely by increased trust among Republican voters following President-elect Donald Trump's victory. Nationally, the percentage of Republican voters who are confident that absentee and mail-in ballots were counted as intended increased from 19% in November 2020 to 72% in November 2024. In Arizona, overall confidence in election administration grew from approximately 76% in December 2020 to 82% in December 2024, with registered Republicans' confidence jumping from 40% to 76%. The higher approval ratings reflect a sharp contrast to sentiments following the previous election, with voters broadly positive about how elections were conducted. This confidence increase is attributed to Trump's win, as his supporters perceive the election as fairer than the one he lost in 2020.
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African American voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Asian American voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Cuban Americans • 25%
Non-Hispanic Whites • 25%
African Americans • 25%
Other Hispanic groups • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Other minority groups • 25%
Working-class voters • 25%
Youth voters (18-29) • 25%
Young adults (18-35) • 25%
Other • 25%
Seniors (56+) • 25%
Middle-aged adults (36-55) • 25%
Other • 25%
18-29 Year Olds • 25%
South Asian Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
18-29 age group • 25%
30-49 age group • 25%
50+ age group • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Black Voters • 25%
Latino Voters • 25%
White Voters • 25%
Asian Voters • 25%
25-34 years old • 25%
35-44 years old • 25%
45+ years old • 25%
18-24 years old • 25%
Adults aged 41-50 • 25%
Adults aged 21-30 • 25%
Adults aged 31-40 • 25%
Adults aged 51 and older • 25%
18-34 age group • 25%
35-54 age group • 25%
55+ age group • 25%
Other • 25%
Veterans • 25%
Families • 25%
Unaccompanied youths • 25%
Elderly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%