Market
Democrat wins Stefanik's NY seat in Jan 2024 special election?
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Republican•Donald Trump•Trump•House Republicans•Matt Gaetz•Elise Stefanik•Mike Waltz•GOP•Florida•New York•Johnson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results from the New York State Board of Elections
Story
Trump Cabinet Picks Trigger January Special Elections, GOP House Majority Could Shrink to One Seat
Dec 3, 2024, 09:03 PM
The Republican majority in the U.S. House of Representatives is poised to become one of the slimmest in history as President-elect Donald Trump's Cabinet appointments have triggered a series of special elections in January. With Trump selecting several House Republicans for his administration, including Representatives Matt Gaetz, Elise Stefanik, and Mike Waltz, the GOP's control could shrink to as few as one seat. These appointments have necessitated special elections in Florida and New York to fill the vacated seats. The situation has left Speaker Johnson with a precarious majority, potentially as thin as two seats, as the GOP navigates the transition into the new administration.
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