Market
Confirmed attack on TurkStream pipeline by July 31, 2025?
4
Russian•Sergey Lavrov•United States•TurkStream•Russia•Turkey•Lavrov•Ukraine•Europe•Washington•European Union•Nord Stream
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Credible news reports or official statements confirming an attack on the TurkStream pipeline
Story
Lavrov Accuses U.S. of "Energy Terrorism" Against TurkStream Pipeline
Jan 14, 2025, 09:14 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov accused the United States of attempting to disable the TurkStream gas pipeline, which transports natural gas from Russia to Turkey. Speaking at a press conference on January 14, 2025, Lavrov claimed that the U.S. is encouraging Ukraine to carry out terrorist attacks against energy infrastructure to undermine Europe's energy stability. He alleged that Washington has given the "go-ahead for terrorist attacks" aimed at destroying the foundation of the European Union's energy well-being. Lavrov described these actions as "energy terrorism," asserting that the U.S. seeks to eliminate competitors in the energy sector and is willing to use sanctions or terrorism to achieve its goals. He also suggested that the U.S. had previously ordered the destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines and is now pushing for similar actions against TurkStream.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant consequences • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No major incident • 25%
Another drone attack • 25%
Pipeline attacked/disabled • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No incident reported • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
No official response • 25%
