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Change in U.S. Steel acquisition decision by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or Nippon Steel
Story
Biden to Block Nippon Steel's $14.1 Billion Acquisition of U.S. Steel, Announcement Expected Friday
Jan 3, 2025, 04:24 AM
President Joe Biden has decided to block Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel, according to multiple reports citing administration officials. The decision, expected to be announced as early as Friday, comes after months of public opposition from Biden to the sale of the once-iconic American company to a foreign buyer. The move is seen as a response to national security concerns raised by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), which could not reach a consensus on the deal's implications. Nippon Steel had planned to purchase U.S. Steel for $14.1 billion (approximately 2 trillion yen), aiming to expand in the U.S. market, the world's largest consumer of steel. However, opposition from the United Steelworkers union and concerns over employment and national security led to the decision to block the acquisition.
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Other outcome • 25%
Approved • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Deal withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Nippon Steel • 25%
Another foreign entity • 25%
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Remains Independent • 25%
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Acquired by a U.S. company • 25%
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CFIUS • 25%
Trump Administration • 25%
U.S. Congress • 25%
Nippon Steel withdrawal • 25%
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Cleveland-Cliffs and Nucor • 25%
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Nippon Steel • 25%