Market
Change in Canadian export volume to U.S. by end of 2025?
2
Canada•Donald Trump•Canadian•Royal Canadian Mounted Police•RCMP•Trump•Public Safety•Dominic LeBlanc•Tom Homan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Uncertain • 25%
Trade data from Statistics Canada and U.S. Census Bureau
Story
Canada's C$1.3B ($908M) Plan Includes Aerial Task Force, Joint Strike Force to Counter Trump's Tariff Threat
Dec 17, 2024, 10:46 PM
Canada has announced a comprehensive C$1.3 billion ($908 million) plan to enhance border security in response to threats from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian exports. The plan includes the establishment of an aerial intelligence task force, comprising helicopters, drones, and mobile surveillance towers, to be operated by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP). This initiative aims to address Trump's concerns about the flow of migrants and fentanyl across the northern border. Additional measures include the creation of a joint strike force with the U.S. to target transnational organized crime, increased penalties for money laundering, and the deployment of new scanners and sniffer dog teams to combat drug trafficking. The funding for these measures was first announced in the government's budget update, and Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc has shared the plan with Trump's incoming border czar, Tom Homan.
View original story
Similar markets
Data unclear or mixed • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
Decrease in exports • 25%
No change in exports • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Exports decrease by >10% • 25%
Exports decrease by 5-10% • 25%
Exports decrease by <5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease by 10% or more • 25%
Increase • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Improved • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Data not available • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved trade balance for Canada • 25%
Worsened trade balance for Canada • 25%
Improved • 25%
Significant decline • 25%
Moderate decline • 25%
Stable • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%