Market
Challenge to D.C. entry bar order by Jan. 6 defendants by end of 2025?
3
Stewart Rhodes•Oath Keepers•Donald Trump•Rhodes•Capitol•Kelly Meggs•Kenneth Harrelson•Jessica Watkins•Roberto Minuta•Edward Vallejo•David Moerchel•Joseph Hackett•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or legal announcements of challenges
Story
Judge Bars Commuted Jan. 6 Defendants, Including Oath Keepers' Rhodes, from Entering D.C.
Jan 24, 2025, 03:58 PM
A federal judge has barred Stewart Rhodes, the founder of the far-right Oath Keepers group, and several other January 6 defendants from entering Washington, D.C., and the U.S. Capitol without court permission. Judge Amit P. Mehta issued the order after President Donald Trump commuted Rhodes' 18-year prison sentence for orchestrating the attack on the Capitol. The defendants—including Kelly Meggs, Kenneth Harrelson, Jessica Watkins, Roberto Minuta, Edward Vallejo, David Moerchel, and Joseph Hackett—must seek approval before entering these areas as a condition of their release from prison. The decision comes after Rhodes was reportedly seen in Washington earlier this week.
View original story
Similar markets
DC Police • 25%
Federal Government • 25%
U.S. Marshals • 25%
Other • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
Clemency partially overturned • 25%
Clemency fully overturned • 25%
Clemency upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Civil Rights Organization • 25%
State Government • 25%
Majority upheld • 25%
All overturned • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Majority overturned • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
