Market
Casualties from 'Iron Wall' operation exceed 50 by February 28, 2025?
3
Israel•West Bank•Jenin•Iron Wall•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Shin Bet•Border Police•Benjamin Netanyahu•Palestinian Health Ministry•Palestinians•Israeli
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the Palestinian Health Ministry or international news agencies
Story
Israel Begins 'Iron Wall' Operation in Jenin; At Least Nine Palestinians Killed
Jan 21, 2025, 12:08 PM
Israel has launched a large-scale military operation in the occupied West Bank city of Jenin, targeting what it describes as terrorist activities in the area. The operation, dubbed 'Iron Wall', involves the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), the Shin Bet internal security agency, and the Border Police. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that the operation aims to 'eradicate terrorism' in Jenin and strengthen security in the West Bank. According to the Palestinian Health Ministry, at least nine Palestinians have been killed and 35 wounded since the operation began on Tuesday. The military operation includes airstrikes, with drones and helicopters supporting ground forces entering the city and the Jenin refugee camp. The operation, one of the largest in the area in years, comes amid escalating tensions in the region, with Israeli forces targeting militant groups in the northern West Bank.
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51-100 total casualties • 25%
20-50 total casualties • 25%
Less than 20 total casualties • 25%
More than 100 total casualties • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant infrastructure rebuilding • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Increased Israeli security presence • 25%
Withdrawal of Israeli forces • 25%
300 or more • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
100 to 199 • 25%
200 to 299 • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Dismantling of terror networks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Operation inconclusive with ongoing clashes • 25%
Operation failure with increased tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation success with reduced militant activity • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
501 to 550 • 25%
More than 550 • 25%
450 to 500 • 25%
Less than 450 • 25%