Market
Average monthly Syrian refugee return rate from Turkey in H1 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 15,000 • 25%
15,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,000 to 25,000 • 25%
More than 25,000 • 25%
Data released by the Turkish Interior Ministry on refugee returns
Story
Turkey Boosts Border Capacity to 15,000-20,000 for Syrian Refugees' Voluntary Return
Dec 10, 2024, 09:14 AM
Turkey's Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya has announced significant changes in the voluntary return of Syrian refugees from Turkey to Syria. The daily capacity for border crossings has been increased from 3,000 to between 15,000 and 20,000 individuals. This adjustment comes as part of efforts to facilitate the return of Syrians to their homeland. According to Yerlikaya, the number of voluntary returns has doubled in the first half of the day, with an average of 11,000 Syrians returning monthly in 2024, now increasing to 1.5 to 2 times that number. The process will involve a registration system to manage the returns, and further details on additional facilitations will be announced after consultations with Syrian NGOs.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 100,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
200,001 to 300,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant return • 25%
Minority return • 25%
Majority return • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 30% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
Equal split • 25%
Majority return • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Significant Increase in Returns • 25%
Decrease in Return Rates • 25%
No Change in Return Rates • 25%
Moderate Increase in Returns • 25%
More than 400,000 • 25%
300,001 to 400,000 • 25%
200,000 to 300,000 • 25%
Less than 200,000 • 25%