Market
Another mass deportation operation involving over 500 individuals conducted by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or credible news reports
Story
U.S. Arrests 538 Illegal Migrants, Deports Hundreds Days After Trump Takes Office
Jan 24, 2025, 08:13 AM
Just days into President Donald Trump's second term, U.S. authorities have arrested 538 illegal migrants described as 'criminals' and deported hundreds more in a mass operation, according to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt. She stated, "Promises made, promises kept," emphasizing the administration's commitment to its campaign pledges on immigration enforcement. The operation, which some sources are calling the largest mass deportation in U.S. history, involved military planes transporting deportees. Critics allege that even U.S. citizens were among those arrested, and that some deportees had been detained during President Joe Biden's tenure.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
National Guard • 25%
Local Law Enforcement • 25%
Other • 25%
Military • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No change in deportation policies • 25%
Decrease in deportation policies • 25%
Increase in deportation policies • 25%