Market
Another large-scale deportation using military aircraft by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the White House or Department of Homeland Security
Story
US Arrests 538 'Illegal Immigrant Criminals', Deports Hundreds Using Military Aircraft in Trump's Second Term
Jan 24, 2025, 07:29 AM
The United States has arrested 538 migrants described as 'illegal immigrant criminals' and deported hundreds in a mass operation shortly after the start of President Donald Trump's second term, according to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt. The operation involved the use of military aircraft for deportations, marking what Leavitt described as the 'largest massive deportation operation in history.' This action follows Trump's campaign promise to crack down on illegal immigration, with the administration beginning to implement policies aimed at overhauling entry to the country.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Support from allied countries • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both Guatemala and El Salvador • 25%
El Salvador only • 25%
Guatemala only • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercial Aircraft • 25%
C-17 • 25%
C-130 • 25%