Market
Adam Gray to run for re-election in 2026?
4
California•13th Congressional District•Democrat Adam Gray•Republican John Duarte•Associated Press•House•Republicans•Democrats•GOP•Duarte•Gray•Democratic•Central Valley•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official candidate filings and announcements from Adam Gray
Story
Adam Gray Defeats GOP Rep. John Duarte in Final House Race, Narrowing GOP Majority to 220-215
Dec 4, 2024, 05:35 AM
The final race for the U.S. House of Representatives in California's 13th Congressional District has been decided, with Democrat Adam Gray defeating incumbent Republican John Duarte by a margin of 187 votes. This result, announced by the Associated Press, marks the last outstanding House race to be called, concluding the 2024 election cycle. The House composition now stands at 220 Republicans and 215 Democrats, giving the GOP a narrow majority. The race, which saw a reversal from the 2022 midterms when Duarte won by 564 votes, highlights the close nature of the contest, with Gray trailing by 3,000 votes on election night before ultimately securing the victory. This Democratic flip in the Central Valley leaves Republicans with a 220-215 advantage, which could complicate efforts to advance President-elect Trump's agenda.
View original story
Similar markets
Andy Biggs • 25%
No nominee declared • 25%
Karrin Taylor Robson • 25%
Other declared candidates • 25%
Loses primary • 25%
Does not run for re-election • 25%
Wins primary but loses general election • 25%
Wins primary and general election • 25%
State-level politician • 25%
No prominent challenger • 25%
Local-level politician • 25%
Business leader • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Defeated in primary • 25%
Does not run • 25%
Defeated in general election • 25%
Re-elected • 25%
1 • 25%
2 • 25%
3 or more • 25%
0 • 25%
Runs for re-election • 25%
No announcement by deadline • 25%
Runs for a different office • 25%
Announces retirement • 25%