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Market
Major protest against AfD by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Police estimates and major news outlets
Story
AfD Reelected Co-Leaders Amid Protests by 100,000 in Essen
Jun 29, 2024, 12:09 PM
The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has reelected its co-leaders with stronger mandates during a two-day congress in Essen. The event has been marked by significant protests, with police estimating around 100,000 participants rallying under the motto 'Bass against Hate.' Clashes erupted between protesters, including left-wing activists, and police, who used pepper spray and batons to control the crowds. The protests are part of a larger movement against the AfD, which won the second-highest share of votes in the recent EU election in Germany. Despite the electoral success, internal tensions within the party suggest a potential split on the horizon.
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Significant increase in protests • 25%
Moderate increase in protests • 25%
No significant change in protest levels • 25%
Decrease in protests • 25%
Dresden • 25%
Leipzig • 25%
Erfurt • 25%
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Above 20% • 25%
Between 15% and 20% • 25%
Between 10% and 15% • 25%
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AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD joins coalition government • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
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Wins majority • 25%
Forms coalition government • 25%
Remains in opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
