Loading...
Market
How will public protests against AfD change leading up to February 2024 elections?
1
Alice Weidel•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Weidel•Euroskeptic•German•Conservative CDU•Marco Wanderwitz•Berlin•Reinickendorf•Germany
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant increase in protests • 25%
Moderate increase in protests • 25%
No significant change in protest levels • 25%
Decrease in protests • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and police records
Story
Amid Ban Efforts, AfD Nominates Alice Weidel as Chancellor Candidate for February Elections
Dec 7, 2024, 11:11 AM
Alice Weidel, co-chair of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, has been officially nominated as the party's first-ever chancellor candidate ahead of the snap federal elections scheduled for February. The AfD, polling second nationally at 17% behind the ruling CDU/CSU coalition's 33%, is making a bold move by putting forward a candidate for chancellor for the first time since its inception. Weidel, a 45-year-old economist known for her Euroskeptic views, is openly gay and has co-led the party since 2017. Her nomination comes amid efforts by more than 100 German MPs, including Conservative CDU MP Marco Wanderwitz, to ban the AfD, citing concerns over the party's far-right stance. Protests were held in Berlin's Reinickendorf district against the AfD's nomination of Weidel. She asserts that the AfD is the only "real opposition" in Germany and believes the party has a "governmental claim" despite other parties' reluctance to form a coalition with them.
View original story
Similar markets
Above 20% • 25%
Between 15% and 20% • 25%
Between 10% and 15% • 25%
Below 10% • 25%
Dresden • 25%
Leipzig • 25%
Erfurt • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Wins in two or more states • 25%
Wins in one state • 25%
No wins but significant gains • 25%
No significant gains • 25%
Less than 15% • 25%
15% to 20% • 25%
20% to 25% • 25%
More than 25% • 25%
