Loading...
Market
Major change in South Korea's military leadership by mid-2025 due to December 3 incident?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or defense ministry
Story
Former South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun Indicted for Insurrection and Abuse of Power Over December 3 Martial Law Declaration
Dec 27, 2024, 06:59 AM
Former South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun has been indicted on charges of insurrection and abuse of power related to his involvement in the December 3 martial law declaration. Prosecutors allege that Kim played a key role in urging President Yoon Suk Yeol to declare martial law and led military actions during the incident. His legal team has stated that Kim drafted the martial law proclamation and included a curfew clause, which was later removed at the president's instruction. They also acknowledged that Kim directed an investigation into alleged election fraud, which involved the formation of a special task force. The indictment was officially announced on December 27, 2024, with prosecutors emphasizing the gravity of the charges against Kim and mentioning the implications for President Yoon's actions during the crisis.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
President Yoon steps down • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Cho Ji-ho Replaced • 25%
Kim Bong-sik Replaced • 25%
Neither Replaced • 25%
Both Replaced • 25%
President Yoon remains in office • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Other reforms • 25%
Increased military autonomy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Stricter controls implemented • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Suspended • 25%
Not Suspended • 25%
Military official • 25%
Political figure • 25%
Other • 25%
Current acting minister • 25%
An opposition party member • 25%
Current Deputy Minister • 25%
A member of the ruling party • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Public apology • 25%
Additional indictments • 25%
Reforms in military leadership • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Shared leadership structure • 25%
Leadership unknown • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
A former military officer • 25%
A political figure • 25%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Other • 25%
Current Deputy Minister • 25%
Other • 25%
Park Geun-hye • 25%
Lee Jae-myung • 25%
Kim Jong-un • 25%