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Magnitude range of the next significant earthquake in Tonga within a year
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant earthquake • 25%
Magnitude 6.0-6.5 • 25%
Magnitude 6.6-7.0 • 25%
Magnitude above 7.0 • 25%
Data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) or German Research Center for Geosciences (GFZ)
Story
Magnitude 6.5-6.6 Earthquake Hits Tonga Islands, No Tsunami Threat
May 26, 2024, 09:08 PM
A stronger earthquake with a magnitude ranging from 6.5 to 6.6 struck the Tonga Islands on May 26, 2024. The German Research Center for Geosciences (GFZ) and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reported the quake, which occurred at a depth of 111 km. Despite the significant magnitude, the U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center confirmed that there is no tsunami threat. No damage has been reported from the preliminary M6.5 earthquake in Tonga.
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Below 5.0 • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
6.0 to 6.9 • 25%
7.0 or higher • 25%
Less than 3.0 • 25%
3.0-4.0 • 25%
4.1-5.0 • 25%
Greater than 5.0 • 25%
Less than 4.0 • 25%
4.0 to 4.9 • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
6.0 or higher • 25%
Less than 2.0 • 33%
2.0-3.0 • 33%
Greater than 3.0 • 34%
By September 30, 2024 • 33%
By December 31, 2024 • 33%
After December 31, 2024 • 34%