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Market
Lebanese government stance change towards Hezbollah by mid-2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hashem Safieddine•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Netanyahu•Lebanese•Yoav Gallant•Nasrallah•Safieddine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or policy changes from the Lebanese government reported by major news agencies
Story
Israel Confirms Killing of Hezbollah Successor Hashem Safieddine in Beirut Airstrike
Oct 8, 2024, 04:27 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has confirmed that Israel has killed Hashem Safieddine, the likely successor to the slain Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, in a recent airstrike on Beirut. Netanyahu stated that Hezbollah is now weaker than it has been for many years and urged the Lebanese people to rise up against the group. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant also indicated that Hezbollah is an organization without a head following the elimination of both Nasrallah and Safieddine. This marks a significant blow to Hezbollah's leadership structure.
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Condemn Hezbollah • 25%
Take military action against Hezbollah • 25%
Do nothing • 25%
Other • 25%
Support Hezbollah • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Oppose Hezbollah • 25%
No official policy • 25%
Yes, with Hezbollah • 25%
Yes, without Hezbollah • 25%
No new coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Severed diplomatic relations • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Support the ceasefire • 25%
Oppose the ceasefire • 25%
Seek amendments • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Maintain current stance • 33%
Reclassify Hezbollah as a terrorist organization • 33%
Impose other sanctions on Hezbollah • 33%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Temporary leadership council • 25%
Leadership remains unclear • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader announced • 25%
Other • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Interim leadership • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Hezbollah disbands • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Disbanded • 25%