Loading...
Market
Largest increase in GOP support by demographic in 2026 midterms?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Black voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Exit polls and analyses from major polling organizations such as Pew Research Center
Story
Trump Secures Narrow Election Victory with 49.997% Vote Share
Nov 22, 2024, 04:08 PM
Donald J. Trump has won the popular vote in the latest election by one of the smallest margins since the 19th century, securing 49.997% of the vote with a 1.6-point margin of victory. Despite claims from Trump and his allies of a 'landslide' victory, the election results indicate a closely contested race. Trump's vote totals increased significantly in predominantly Black and Latino neighborhoods in New York City, where he garnered a higher percentage of votes than any Republican candidate since 1988. This shift contributed to his narrow victory, while Kamala Harris's vote totals most decreased in these same neighborhoods. A recent Pew survey indicates a shift in voter preference towards the GOP and away from Democrats.
View original story
Similar markets
Hispanic voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Asian American voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Black Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
Catholic Voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Other • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Asian American Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
African American Voters • 25%
18-29 Age Group • 25%
30-44 Age Group • 25%
45-64 Age Group • 25%
65+ Age Group • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Latinos • 25%
African Americans • 25%
Asian Americans • 25%
Other • 25%
Urban Voters • 25%
Suburban Voters • 25%
Rural Voters • 25%
Young Voters (18-29) • 25%