Loading...
Market
Demographic with largest increase in Republican support in 2026 midterms?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Latino voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Exit polls and post-election analysis by major media outlets
Story
Trump Wins 2024 Election with Strong Latino Support Despite Losing White Vote
Nov 6, 2024, 02:42 PM
Donald Trump has won the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, securing both the Electoral College and the popular vote, a first for a Republican candidate in 20 years. Voters sent a clear and resounding message turning away from progressive policies in favor of Trump's agenda, including tax cuts, deregulation, and depoliticization of schools. Despite losing the white vote, Trump formed a multicultural working-class coalition, gaining significant support from Latino men and capturing a larger percentage of the Hispanic vote than President Bush's 39%. This represents a seismic shift in American politics. Pollsters failed to predict this outcome, highlighting a disconnect between polls and voters' sentiments. Voter priorities differed significantly, with Harris supporters focusing on democracy, while Trump supporters prioritized inflation and immigration.
View original story
Similar markets
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Asian American voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Black Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
Catholic Voters • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Asian American Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
African American Voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Urban Voters • 25%
Suburban Voters • 25%
Rural Voters • 25%
Young Voters (18-29) • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
18-29 Age Group • 25%
30-44 Age Group • 25%
45-64 Age Group • 25%
65+ Age Group • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Native American voters • 25%
Voters under 30 • 25%
Latinos • 25%
African Americans • 25%
Asian Americans • 25%
Other • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Youth voters (18-29) • 25%
Working-class voters • 25%
Other minority groups • 25%