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Market
Labour's performance in next local elections post-Blackpool South victory
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Gain more seats • 33%
Lose seats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Election results from official electoral bodies
Story
Labour Wins Blackpool South with Chris Webb, 26.33% Swing Against Tories
May 3, 2024, 03:50 AM
In a significant political shift, Labour has gained the Blackpool South seat in the by-election held on May 2, 2024. Local candidate Chris Webb led Labour to victory with 10,825 votes, significantly ahead of the Conservative and Reform candidates, who secured 3,218 and 3,101 votes respectively. This result, marking a 26.33% swing from Conservatives to Labour, is considered one of the largest in by-election history since World War II and represents a major setback for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. The turnout was 32.5%.
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Labour • 33%
Conservative • 33%
Reform UK • 33%
Labour wins majority • 25%
Labour forms coalition • 25%
Labour loses but increases seats • 25%
Labour loses with no significant gains • 25%
Policy revisions • 25%
Leadership changes • 25%
Coalition attempts • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Labour wins majority • 33%
Labour forms a coalition government • 33%
Labour stays in opposition • 33%
Labour maintains or increases majority • 40%
Conservatives regain majority • 40%
Other parties gain significant seats • 20%
Increase in Seats • 33%
Decrease in Seats • 33%
No Change • 33%