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Market
Israeli Operation to Recover Bodies or Captives from Gaza by End of 2025?
3
Gaza Strip•Israeli military•Shin Bet•Oron Shaul•Golani•Hamas•Shejaiya•Gaza•Operation Protective Edge•Special Forces Operation•Benjamin Netanyahu•Shaul•IDF
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli government or military reported by major news outlets
Story
Israeli Special Forces Recover Body of Soldier Oron Shaul Held by Hamas Since 2014
Jan 19, 2025, 06:01 AM
In a clandestine operation in the Gaza Strip, the Israeli military, in collaboration with the Shin Bet, successfully recovered the body of Staff Sgt. Oron Shaul, a Golani soldier who was just 20 years old when he was killed and captured by Hamas during a battle in the Shejaiya neighborhood of Gaza on July 20, 2014, during Operation Protective Edge. His body had been held by Hamas for nearly a decade. The Special Forces Operation was conducted before a ceasefire came into effect, as announced by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who expressed his condolences to Shaul's family and congratulated the Shin Bet and IDF for their efforts.
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Unsuccessful with no hostages recovered • 25%
Successful with hostages recovered • 25%
Operation not conducted • 25%
Partial success with some hostages recovered • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Air strikes • 25%
Ground offensive • 25%
Other • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%