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Impact of Thaksin Shinawatra's case on Thai political stability in 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increases political instability • 33%
No significant impact on political stability • 33%
Improves political stability • 34%
Assessments from political analysts and credible news sources
Story
Former Thai PM Thaksin Shinawatra Charged with Lèse-Majesté and Royal Defamation
May 29, 2024, 03:18 AM
Former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra has been formally charged with lèse-majesté, a serious offense involving defamation of the monarchy. The decision to prosecute was announced by Thailand’s attorney general's office on Wednesday. Thaksin, a highly influential political figure whose loyalists are currently in government, faces charges stemming from an alleged insult to the monarchy in an interview given to foreign media in 2015. This development marks a significant setback for Thaksin, who had recently been released on parole in another criminal case.
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Increase in popularity • 33%
Decrease in popularity • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Stable • 50%
Unstable • 50%
Increased political stability • 25%
Decreased political stability • 25%
No change in political stability • 25%
Too early to determine • 25%
Increase in political stability • 33%
Decrease in political stability • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Convicted • 50%
Acquitted • 50%
Condemnation • 33%
Support • 33%
Indifference • 34%
Increase in popularity • 33%
Decrease in popularity • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significantly harms political future • 33%
No significant impact on political future • 33%
Boosts political support • 34%
Increase in popularity • 33%
Decrease in popularity • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Negatively impacted • 33%
Positively impacted • 33%
No impact • 33%
Increase in influence • 33%
Decrease in influence • 33%
No significant change • 34%